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Opinion

Ruto Cannot Lead Kenya To 2060; A President Trapped In Yesterday Has No Business Designing Tomorrow

BY Steve Biko Wafula · August 28, 2026 06:08 pm

KEY TAKEAWAYS

From the childhood dreams we were forced to abandon to an economy that taxes ambition, Kenya's crisis is not a shortage of talent. It is a catastrophic shortage of leadership.

Nursery: I want to be a police officer.
Class 1: I want to be a teacher.
Class 2: I want to be a doctor.
Class 3: I want to be a neurosurgeon.
Class 8: I want to be a lawyer.
High School: I want to be a lawyer.
University: I am doing Law.
After University: I become a social media influencer.

That is my story. It is also the biography of millions of Kenyans whose dreams did not die because they lacked intelligence, discipline, or courage. Their dreams were rerouted by an economy that could not make room for them. We grew up believing education was a bridge between imagination and dignity. We studied, sacrificed, borrowed, prayed, and persevered. Then we arrived at the other side and discovered that the bridge ended in mid-air. The job was missing. The professional ladder had been pulled up. The business environment demanded capital we did not have, collateral our families had never owned, and patience our landlords, parents and children could not afford. So we adapted. We hustled. We entered the digital economy. We became creators, traders, riders, consultants, agents and influencers because survival does not wait for a government press conference.

I do not despise social media influence. It has given many of us a voice, an audience and a livelihood. It has allowed ordinary citizens to build communities, challenge power, market products and create work where formal systems offered none. But the difference between choosing a path and being cornered into it matters. A country succeeds when a child can dream of becoming a neurosurgeon and find laboratories, scholarships, specialist training, research hospitals and a functioning health system waiting. A country fails when that child grows up, earns qualifications and is told to improvise a livelihood in an economy that treats professional ambition like a luxury. Reinvention can be heroic, but a government must never use the resilience of its citizens as an excuse for its own incompetence.

William Ruto came to power selling the language of the hustler. He spoke as though he understood the anxiety of the graduate with certificates but no connections, the small trader squeezed by taxes, the farmer trapped by input costs, the entrepreneur waiting months to be paid, and the young person trying to convert talent into income. Yet his administration has not built a hustler economy. It has built a survival economy. It has turned the citizen into a permanent shock absorber for state failure. Every policy arrives with a demand for more sacrifice. Every new levy is wrapped in moral lectures. Every disappointment is blamed on the previous government, global events, disloyal officials, ungrateful citizens or unnamed saboteurs. Ruto wants the authority of the presidency without accepting the responsibility of the presidency.

The evidence is not hidden. Kenya’s official growth record shows the economy slowing from 5.6 percent in 2023 to 4.7 percent in 2024 and 4.6 percent in 2025. The Central Bank of Kenya records that, during this administration, average commercial lending rates climbed as high as 17.2 percent in November 2024, private sector credit growth fell to negative 2.9 percent in January 2025, and the ratio of gross non-performing loans reached 17.6 percent in August 2025. Conditions later improved, and the government will advertise that improvement as triumph. But a patient leaving intensive care is not proof that the doctor never endangered him. Businesses closed, investments were postponed, employees were released, and families were broken during that credit drought. Recovery does not erase the wreckage.

Even in the Central Bank’s May 2026 survey, business leaders identified the high cost of doing business, a difficult economic environment and weak consumer demand among the main constraints to expansion. Firms said lower lending rates were reaching them gradually. This is the real country beneath the podium statistics: a nation where entrepreneurs finance operations from depleted personal resources, consumers postpone basic purchases and employers hesitate before adding a single salary to the payroll. Ruto speaks of wealth creation while presiding over a system that punishes anyone attempting to create it. He celebrates revenue collection while ignoring the businesses, ambitions and household budgets crushed in the process. A government cannot tax its way into prosperity while borrowing its way out of accountability.

The deepest failure, however, is not merely economic. It is intellectual. Leadership is the ability to understand complexity, choose priorities, build institutions and execute consistently. It is not the ability to produce a slogan for every crisis. Ruto’s presidency has become a theatre of announcements: funds are launched, programmes are renamed, promises are recycled, and dates are pushed into the future. The words change faster than the lives of Kenyans. His record has not demonstrated the strategic capacity required to guide a young, indebted, unequal and technologically exposed nation through the disruptions already at our door. The issue is not whether he can pronounce artificial intelligence, machine learning or robotics. The