Equities Dip Further in May Due to Declines in Large Caps
During the month of May, the equities market was on a downward trend with NASI, NSE 20 and NSE 25 declining by 3.9, 10.8 and 3.7 percent respectively taking their YTD performance as at the end of May to 0.8 percent (10.2 percent) and 1.9 percent for NASI, NSE 20 and NSE 25, respectively.
The equities market performance during the month was driven by declines in large caps such as Diamond Trust Bank (DTB), Barclays Bank, Cooperative Bank and KCB Group, which declined by 11.2, 10.9, 8.4 and 8.0 percent respectively, owing to the bank’s closing their books for dividend during the month.
During the week, the equities market was also on a downward trend with NASI, NSE 20 and NSE 25 declining by 1.6, 0.9 and 1.5 percent respectively due to declines in counters such as Standard Chartered, Cooperative Bank, and Safaricom, which declined by 3.8 3.1 and 2.6 percent respectively.
Equities turnover rose by 22.0 percent during the month to USD 182.5 million from USD 149.6 million in April taking the YTD turnover to USD 0.9 billion.
Foreign investors remained net sellers for the month of May as they sought to realize the capital gains on various counters, in addition to receiving dividend income.
Most investors exited the market at the relatively healthy valuation, with possible re-entry at cheaper valuations in the future.
The market is currently trading at a price to earnings ratio (P/E) of 13.6x, 0.7 percent above the historical average of 13.5x, and a dividend yield of 3.8 percent slightly above the historical average of 3.7 percent.
The current P/E valuation of 13.5x is 39.2 percent above the most recent trough valuation of 9.7x experienced in the first week of February 2017, and 62.7 percent above the previous trough valuation of 8.3x experienced in December 2011. The charts below indicate the historical P/E and dividend yields of the market
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