Kenya Met Issues July Forecast As Cold Mornings, Scattered Rains Loom

The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (Kenya Met) has released its July weather outlook, warning that millions of Kenyans should prepare for a month largely characterized by dry and sunny conditions, although some regions will continue to experience chilly weather, cloudy skies, and occasional light rainfall.

In its monthly forecast issued on Tuesday, July 1, Kenya Met said much of the country is expected to remain dry throughout July, with sunshine dominating in most regions.

“The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) indicates that in July 2026, several parts of the country will be generally dry and sunny,” the agency stated.

However, residents living in Nairobi and the Central Highlands should prepare for a different weather pattern. The forecast indicates that these areas will continue experiencing cold mornings and nights, cloudy conditions, and intermittent light showers throughout the month.

Similar weather conditions are also expected in parts of the Southeastern Lowlands, Western Kenya, and the Central Rift Valley, where occasional drizzles and light rainfall will interrupt otherwise dry periods.

The Southeastern Lowlands include Machakos, Kitui, Makueni, Kajiado, and Taita Taveta counties. In Western Kenya, the forecast covers Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, and Nyamira counties. Meanwhile, the Central Rift Valley counties expected to experience cool and cloudy conditions include Nakuru, Narok, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, and Nandi.

“However, intermittent cool and cloudy conditions accompanied by light rains are expected to prevail in counties in the Central Highlands and Nairobi area and some counties in the Southeastern Lowlands, Western Kenya and the Central Rift Valley during the month,” KMSA added.

The latest outlook also raises concerns for farmers, particularly those in the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, and parts of the Central and Southern Rift Valley. According to the forecast, these regions are likely to receive below-average rainfall, a development that could affect crop production, planting schedules, and water availability.

“Counties in the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, and Central and Southern Rift Valley are likely to receive below-average rainfall,” the agency said.

The affected areas include Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, and Busia in the Lake Victoria Basin and Highlands West. Other counties expected to receive less rainfall than normal include Trans Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, West Pokot, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, and Bomet in the Central and Southern Rift Valley.

In the country’s northwestern region, the outlook remains largely unchanged, with Turkana, West Pokot, and Samburu counties expected to experience predominantly dry weather for most of July. Residents in these areas are advised to prepare for prolonged dry spells that could worsen water shortages and pasture conditions.

On a more positive note, the Coast is expected to receive relatively higher amounts of rainfall compared to many other parts of the country. Counties including Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, and parts of Taita Taveta are forecast to receive near-to-above-average rainfall during the month, accompanied by relatively warmer temperatures.

The weather agency also noted that some areas bordering Uganda and South Sudan, including Busia and parts of Turkana County, may receive occasional rainfall. However, the amount of rain expected in these regions is still likely to remain below the seasonal average.

The July forecast comes as Kenya enters one of its traditionally cooler months, with low temperatures commonly experienced in Nairobi, the Central Highlands, and parts of the Rift Valley.

Meteorologists are advising farmers, motorists, and the general public to monitor regular weather updates and take necessary precautions, particularly in areas likely to experience cold conditions, reduced visibility due to morning fog, and prolonged dry spells.

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